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In each alternate options we constrain the models in order that they yield a prescribed ultimate common worth of the overall fertility charge. 2 For example, Lee and Tuljapurkar 9 assume that the U. S. fertility charge will converge to 2.1, the alternative stage: Conventional time series models for fertility can result in unrealistic forecasts (including unfavourable fertilities), so we examined two different fashions that incorporate prior data….

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